Mid-Review Workshop: Impact of Agricultural and Food Policies on Nutrition Outcomes

MID-REVIEW WORKSHOP:

impact of agricultural and food policies on Nutrition outcomes

From 23-24 April 2019, fifteen research teams conducting country case studies under the collaborative research project on Impact of Agricultural and Food Policies on Nutrition Outcomes in Africa (AFPON) presented their work in progress at a workshop held in Nairobi, Kenya. This was the second meeting for the project after the inception and capacity building workshop that was convened in October 2018 in Nairobi; the fifteen studies were commissioned out of the twenty promising proposals  that were presented.

Acting on behalf of the Executive Director, Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u, the Director of Research welcomed the participants to the meeting and urged the researchers to utilize the two days in harvesting ideas, comments and suggestions for improvement of draft reports.

During the workshop, each team received feedback from peers who acted as discussants as well as from the Project Steering Committee that consists of Prof. David Sahn of Cornell University (Coordinator/Chair), Dr. Esi Colecraft of University of Ghana and Prof. Germano Mwabu of Kenyatta University.

Upon careful review of the proposals by the three technical experts, it was agreed that the teams finalize the drafts reports and develop policy briefs within three months. The two outputs will be submitted to the secretariat and the steering committee for review before convening for the final review workshop in August/September 2019.

2019 Senior Policy Seminar

harare declaration on

fragility of growth in african economies

Senior Policy Makers Reaffirm the Need to Address Fragility of Growth in African Economies for Economic Transformation

At the Senior Policy Seminar XXI, held in Harare, Zimbabwe, on 21-22 March 2019, hosted by the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), in partnership with the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) and the Macroeconomic and Financial Management Institute of Eastern and Southern Africa (MEFMI) on the theme: Fragility of Growth in African Economies, Senior Policy Makers and other stakeholders, private sector, international organizations, academia and civil society, from around the continent adopted a declaration as an affirmation of their strong commitment to reversing fragility in African economies through inclusive growth, development and governance.

Declaration, Harare, March 22, 2019

We, African Senior Policy Makers and other stakeholders, private sector, international organizations, academia and civil society actors assembled here at the AERC Senior Policy Seminar XXI, held in partnership with the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) and the Macroeconomic and Financial Management Institute of Eastern and Southern Africa (MEFMI),

Recognising that fragility is on the rise in Africa, and that the sources of fragility of African economies are multifaceted, and include conflict and/or political instability, limited diversification of economies, climatic shocks, and youth unemployment, among others, and that fragility is detrimental to sustained robust growth;

Further recognizing that addressing fragility should be thought of comprehensively, not in isolation, but should include other initiatives such as regional integration, infrastructure development, international cooperation, technology, value chains, industrialization, capacity building, structural transformation, and effective policy frameworks;

Noting that fragility is gendered;

Also noting the vital role of pro-poor growth strategies for inclusive development, especially in such areas as raising agricultural productivity, provision of adequate infrastructure, social protection programmes, quality education and training, industrial development, technology and innovation and fostering dialogue and coordination among all relevant stakeholders;

Having also noted the commitments by African Heads of State and Government “.. not to bequeath the burden of conflict to the next generation of Africans, setting as an objective the elimination of all conflicts by 2020; expressing their determination to anchor African societies, Governments and institutions on respect for the rule of law, human rights and dignity, popular participation, the management of diversity, as well as inclusion and democracy; and committed themselves to place the African people at the centre of the Union’s endeavours and to eradicate poverty;[1];

Also, further recalling African Union’s several communiqués and press statements on the need to build peace and security in Africa as a pre-requisite for economic growth and development;

1. Call for renewed efforts towards the implementation of the AU Policy Framework for Post-Conflict Reconstruction and Development (PCRD), adopted by the 9th Ordinary Session of the Executive Council held in Banjul, The Gambia, from 25 to 29 June 2006 [EX.CL/Dec.302(IX)];

2. Take note of the important role that private sector entrepreneurs and philanthropists play in strengthening domestic resource mobilization and in channeling more investments for job creation and income generating activities in countries in fragile situations in Africa and those emerging from conflicts;

3.  Affirm that fragility of growth is a critical constraint to structural transformation for inclusive and sustainable development in Africa, and thus the realization of the sustainable development goals;

4. Further affirm the need to increase investment in knowledge generation, human capital development, institutional strengthening, digital innovation and technology, youth and women empowerment, and skills transfers to address regional imbalances and thus pave the way for reduced growth volatility and fragility in African economies;

5. Commend the critical role of African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) and its partner institutions, in capacity building for promoting evidence based policies and generating the knowledge basis for decision making on such key economic policy issues as growth resilience and development.

6. Recognize that many well-meaning declarations and strategies have largely not been executed, call for immediate action, and urgency in reversing fragility of African economies.

7. Commit to improve management of our natural resources, for the betterment of our citizens, and to leverage these natural resources to diversify our economies. This includes taking deliberate measures to reduce fragility of sectors such as agriculture.

8. Further commit to pursue inclusive growth and development policies and to build more peaceful and more cohesive societies buttressed by dialogue and openness.

9. And further commit to empowering women, youth and other agents of inclusive and resilient economic growth and development through agricultural and agro- industrialization policies and strategies adopted by African governments.

10. Decide to remain actively seized on the matter.                                                          


[1] “Solemn Declaration on the 50th Anniversary of the Organization of African Unity (OAU)/AU”, adopted by the Assembly of the Union, in Addis Ababa, on 25 May 2013, on the occasion of the Union’s Golden Jubilee [Assembly/AU/Decl.3(XXI)].

Impact Story

AERC IMPACT STORY

HARAD CHUMA LUNGU, ZAMBIA

“I am honored to have been one of the recipients of the Collaborative Masters in Agricultural and Applied Economics (CMAAE) scholarship. Thanks to your generosity and initiative, I am confirming that I am graduating from the University of Pretoria this Autumn (April 17, 2019). The scholarship was awarded to me on February 8, 2017.

Growing up in a developing country has not only offered academic and financial challenges, but has helped me realize the true value of university education and my role to give back to society in any possible way I can.

I completed my master’s program specializing in Environmental and Natural Resource Economics. I was privileged having been taught and supervised by the best lecturers in CEEPA at UP. Through their complete dedication to academic excellence, I was honored to be selected to present my research work at the inaugural world conference on Sustainability and Development at the University of Michigan in November 2018. Further, I was informed by my supervisor that I was one of the few students who has graduated “on time” from my program at UP and it’s a fit I never imagined possible.

With that, I offer special gratitude to my supervisor Dr. Selma Karuaihe at UP. I also extend much appreciation to Ms. Christa VanLoggerenberg (In copy) who is the AERC CMAAE admin person at UP, her kind and friendly personality made life a little easier at UP. I consider myself fortunate to have been able to attend varsity at UP. Working as Research Assistant in Zambia prior to my admission at UP, I enjoyed participating and contributing to “Research4Development” activities that enabled targeted groups to lead resilient and sustainable livelihoods through the program initiatives championed. I now hope to carry on in a similar path but with a more understanding of the role of research in informing policy and the subsequent impacts on people’s livelihoods.”

Outreach to Francophone Africa

outreach to francophone

africa

Professor Njuguna Ndung’u met with la Banque des tats de l’Afrique Centrale (BEAC) Governor Abbas Mahamat Tolli on February 13th in Yaoundé, Cameroon to discuss the integration of BEAC into AERC’s Governors Forum. Also present was the Director General of Research, Ivan Bacall Ebe Molina.

Created in 1972, the Bank of Central African States (BEAC) is the central bank common to the six states that make up the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC). They are respectively Cameroon, Central African Republic, Congo, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea and Chad.

BEAC’s mission is to:

  • promote financial stability
  • promote the smooth functioning of payment and settlement systems
  • hold and manage the official foreign exchange reserves of the Member States
  • lead the CEMAC exchange rate policy
  • issue fiduciary money (banknotes and coins that are legal tender and discharging power in the CEMAC)
  • define and conduct the monetary policy of CEMAC.

AERC seeks to increase engagement with Francophone Africa to ensure that we effectively serve all stakeholders in the region.

Delivering Inclusive Financial Development and Growth

On 25 January, African Economic Research Consortium’s (AERC) Executive Director, Prof Njuguna Ndung’u,  gave the keynote speech at the UK’s Department for International Development (DFID) and ESRC Research Project on Delivering Inclusive Financial Development and Growth: A Workshop in Honour of Professor Christopher J. Green at Loughborough University.

He commended Prof Green’s dedication and contribution to the frontiers of research in economics and finance and to his exceptional contributions to the AERC Network. Professor Christopher J. Green has contributed to mentorship of researchers both through his university academic career as well as his active involvement in the critical capacity building dimensions of AERC.

‘We should continue the legacy of Prof Christopher Green as we seek to provide answers to these and other questions relating to financial sector development and financial inclusion in developing countries, in general, and Africa, in particular,’ said Prof Ndung’u.

Prof Ndung’u also shared his insights into Gaps, Challenges, and Policy Opinions in Financial Development and Financial Inclusion in Africa and suggested three key elements that are fundamental to sustaining the digital evolution for financial development in Africa – ‘connectivity, interoperability, and electronic ID systems’.

The research workshop was  jointly convened by the Centre for Global Finance (CGF) at SOAS and the School of Business and Economics at Loughborough University. More than 70 researchers, policy makers and practitioners from the UK, Netherlands, France, Canada, Cote d’Ivoire, Bulgaria, Israel, Iran, China, Kenya, Ghana, Nigeria, and Turkey came together to exchange ideas on preliminary research findings from the ongoing research project on Delivering Inclusive Financial Development and Growth, which is funded by the DFID and ESRC.

The Looming Debt Crisis in Africa

49th Biannual Plenary

Highlights

AERC’s 49th Biannual Plenary on “The Looming Debt Crisis in Africa” was engaging, energetic and thought provoking. Over 200 economists, researchers, policy makers and private sector participants from around the continent and globe debated the cause and potential impact of a looming debt crisis.

Watch a recording of the afternoon session: https://www.facebook.com/aercafrica/videos/234807027415055/

Watch a recording of the morning session: https://www.facebook.com/aercafrica/videos/324849975004987/

Key Points Discussed: 

  • Public debt has now climbed above 50% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in nearly half the countries in sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Africa’s public debt has not yet reached the proportions that triggered the Highly Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) initiative, the concerns regarding Africa’s present debt is the fact that it has risen sharply in a very short space of time.
  • Several countries saw a dramatic decline in debt stocks after they benefited from the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative in 2005.
  • Much of the debt was owed to multilateral institutions like the World Bank and IMF and bilateral creditors in the 2000s, who formed the Paris Club. Today, a considerable share of African debt is held by private banks and bondholders.
  • Heavy debt servicing has raised apprehensions regarding sustainability, and carries immediate implications for macroeconomic stability, consequently economic growth and development.
  • Sub-Saharan Africa is slipping into a new debt crisis, with 40 per cent of the region’s countries now at high risk of debt distress — double the proportion of five years ago.
  • The number of countries already unable to service their debts has doubled in the past year to eight, and the IMF is urging African countries to raise taxes to provide more scope for paying interest.
  • Countries like Chad, South Sudan, the Republic of Congo and Mozambique have moved into “debt distress.”
  • Most countries in sub-Saharan Africa are being hit because they had borrowed in foreign currencies and are finding debt hard to finance after a significant depreciation.
  • Sub-Saharan governments have issued over $80 billion in dollar bonds to investors hungry for yield.
  • There have also been gloomier syndicated loans and bilateral debts, many to China, which has over US$60 billion on offer, and tied to big construction projects. Much of Africa has a shallow domestic market and no country in the world can self-finance.

Key Recommendations: 

  • The rules for how to handle Africa’s debt crises are changing. In the past much of the money was owed to the World Bank, IMF and Paris Club, an informal group of Western government creditors. This gave the fund the power to demand prudent economic reforms as a condition for help. Now China’s influence has risen—and it puts much less emphasis on good governance.
  • Unlike previous debt crises where the IMF and the World Bank played a leading role, this time the creditors are mostly commercial entities or state financial organisations. So, care is needed as they have little appetite for write-offs or restructurings.
  • There is need for austerity measure if sub-Saharan Africa is to move to prosperity. Countries can for instance scale down on infrastructure, even though there still exists a huge infrastructure gap in region.
  • We should have a low-income countries’ debt model.
  • To get out of this syndrome, hidden debts that IMF/World Bank cannot track should be identified and dealt with.
  • The fact that the structure of public debt has changed over the years calls for innovation for instance, re-profiling and selling the debt at the stage of roll over. This reduces cost, if the exchange rate does not go through the roof.
  • Replace non-concessional loans with concessional ones.
  • The quality of some debt contract is skewed and should be addressed going forward.
  • There is need for a strong fiscal policy in Africa.
  • We need to deepen domestic financial markets.
  • World Bank and IMF can mainstream budget support to some countries already in deep trouble through their poverty reduction programmes to relieve some debts.
  • There is need for behaviour change to diminish appetite for loans among African government leaders.
African Economic Research Consortium
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