Dissemination Workshop on study, “The Challenge of Unemployment and Youth Unemployment amidst Fast Economic Growth in Ethiopia.”

Ethiopia, 3rd March 2022…The Horn Economic and Social Policy Institute (HESPI) in collaboration with the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) has hosted a dissemination workshop in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, on the findings of a research on “The Challenge of Unemployment and Youth Unemployment amidst Fast Economic Growth in Ethiopia.” The dissemination event was chaired by Ambassador Peter Robleh, Associate Managing Director of HESPI and former Ambassador of Ethiopia to Belgium.

The workshop provided a platform for the dissemination, analysis and discussion of the research project which was commissioned by the AERC as part of the theme of “Work and Income for Young Men and Women in Africa: a political economy and social equity approach to the employment potential of specific sectors and subsectors in African economies.” This conducted in conjunction with Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affair’s Knowledge Platform on Inclusive Development (INCLUDE)- a collaborative research conducted in 9 African Countries.

The Ethiopia research project aimed to identify promising economic sectors or value chains for job creation for young men and women in the country; identify conditions needed for the local and foreign private sectors to invest in these sectors; identify the actors that are needed to create these conditions that enhance or reduce investment security; and the ways to promote equal access and opportunity for youth t, while at the same time addressing inequality related to gender, socio-economic background, and place of residence. The research was conducted by Prof. Alemayehu Geda, from Addis Ababa University, who produced a comprehensive report and a policy brief that distilled the core findings. Dr. Andualem Goshu from the UN-ECA and Dr. Messay Mekonnen from the Addis Ababa University provided expert peer reviews as discussants. Also, Prof. Geda’s presentation of the paper was discussed and commented on by participants drawn from the government policy making bodies, NGOs, CSOs and a wide spectrum of private representatives.

At the opening session of the workshop, Prof. Abebe Shimeles, Research Director of the AERC, said, “we need to question the growing economies in Africa ‘where are the jobs created and what are the potential sectors?’ Amba. Peter, Associate Managing Director of The Horn Economic and Social Policy Institute (HESPI) on his part underscored that “Growing economies should create jobs and the highly contributing sectors and sub sectors should be carefully identified; and should enjoy policy attention.
It was highlighted at the event that there is a mismatch between sources of growth and job creation in Ethiopia. The sectors with capacity to generate high growth due to demand injection are not the sectors with significant job creation potentials, and these include the industrial and the service sectors have been the major sources of economic growth in recent years. Within the service sectors, the major source of economic growth was the trade sector which is not a major sector of job-sensitivity. In Ethiopia, the health, education, and transport sectors were identified to have significant employment potential.

It was therefore recommended that critical political choices have to be made on job creating sectors and sub sectors than solely focusing on driving high economic growth without creating new jobs. The study pointed out that the agricultural sector in general and sub sectors like animal farming, cash crops, and crops such as maize, in particular, as sectors with significant potential for employment.

Dissemination Workshop on study, “Identifying Activities for Greater Employment Generation in Egypt: An Input-output Analysis”

Egypt, 3rd March 2022… The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) in collaboration with the Economic Research Forum (ERF) and the Overseas Development Institute (ODI), hosted the dissemination workshop of the research paper titled “Identifying Activities for Greater Employment Generation in Egypt: An Input-output Analysis” authored by Dr. Iman Al Ayouty.

This research paper comes out of a call for proposals under the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), the Economic Research Forum (ERF) and the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) collaborative research project that seeks to identify the economic sectors with the greatest potential to increase youth employment. This collaborative research project, therefore, aims to strengthen the evidence base on youth employment, drawing on research that will be carried out to examine the growth sectors with the highest multipliers and potential to create employment opportunities.

The dissemination event aimed to give an overview of the paper’s objective, methodology and findings. The workshop was moderated by Dr. Chahir Zaki, Professor of Economics at Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University. Two lead commentators presented their feedback on the paper including Dr. Amirah El Haddad who is senior economist at the German Development Institute and Professor of Economics at the Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University and Dr. Ahmed Fikry who is the Managing Director of East Port Said Development Co. (EP), the National Egyptian Railway Industries Co. (NERIC), and the Egyptian German Automotive Co. (EGA).

In her opening remarks, Dr. Scholastica Odhiambo, Manager of Research at AERC, provided an overview on the project’s background, objectives as well as its phases. During the paper’s presentation, Dr. Iman Al Ayouty first gave some background information around unemployment in Egypt focusing on youth unemployment where she emphasized the importance of identifying activities with potential youth-employment-generation. Dr. Iman then continued to explain that the paper tries to identify the industries and geographic locations that have high employment multiplier using input-output analysis (IO), spatial analysis and descriptive analysis and using data that’s mainly obtained from CAPMAS. After providing an overview on the most important findings of the paper, Dr. Iman concluded her presentation with some policy implications that included, but are not limited to, the necessity of attracting investments to industries in the named governorates and the recommendation to link the findings of the research paper with the “Youth Employment Inventory (YEI): Egypt” of the International Labour Organization (ILO).

Drs. Amirah El Haddad and Ahmed Fikry then provided their comments on the paper which started a rich and interesting discussion around the paper’s methodology and findings. Held on March 3rd, 2022, the workshop attracted a various and large number of participants and experts in the field and the workshop was streamed live on the ERF YouTube Channel.

Dissemination Workshop on study “Structural change, productivity and jobs creation: Evidence from Tunisia”

Tunisia, 2nd March 2022. The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) in collaboration with the Economic Research Forum (ERF) and the Overseas Development Institute (ODI), hosted a dissemination workshop of the research paper titled “Structural change, productivity and jobs creation: Evidence from Tunisia” authored by Dr. Mohamed Amara, Dr. Faycel Zidi and Dr. Hela Jeddi.

This research paper comes out of a call for proposals under the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), the Economic Research Forum (ERF) and the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) collaborative research project that seeks to identify the economic sectors with the greatest potential to increase youth employment. This collaborative research project, therefore, aims to strengthen the evidence base on youth employment, drawing on research that will be carried out to examine the growth sectors with the highest multipliers and potential to create employment opportunities.

The dissemination event aimed to give an overview of the paper’s objective, methodology and findings. The event was moderated by Dr. Adel Ben Youssef, Professor of Economics at University of Côte d’Azur. The lead commentators included Dr. Mohamed Ali Marouani, Resident Representative of the Institute of Research for Development (IRD) in Tunisia and Associate Professor in Economics at Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne University, Dr. Mongi Boughzala, an Emeritus Professor of Economics at University of Tunis El Manar and Dr. Abdel Rahmen El Lahga who works at the Faculté des sciences économiques et de gestion de Tunis, University of Tunis.

In his opening remarks, Dr. Ibrahim Elbadawi, ERF Managing Director, emphasized that the issue of structural change is very important especially in view of headwinds that are facing fundamental economic growth, productivity growth and job creation. Structural change can play an important role at the short run and potentially at the long run, provided that governments were able to transfer labor from low productivity informal sectors to higher productivity more formalized sectors both in manufacturing and services.

In her opening remarks, Dr. Scholastica Odhiambo, Manager of Research at AERC, provided an overview on the project’s background, objectives as well as its phases. During the paper’s presentation, Dr. Mohamed Amara discussed first the challenges of job creation in Tunisia and how this relates to structural changes and then he continued to present a firm level analysis for job creation and finally the constraints to promoting jobs from a political economy standpoint and what public actions are recommended in that area. The authors have concluded that the Tunisian manufacturing sector is characterized by low productivity. It is thus opportune to provide it with adequate support measures. For large manufacturing firms, it is important to support their capacity for innovation, while for small manufacturing firms, access to financing represents the main obstacle as providing the financial resources can help these firms especially during the start-up period.

Dr. Mohamed Ali Marouani and Dr. Mongi Abou Ghzala then provided their comments on the paper which started an informative and interesting discussion around the paper’s methodology and findings. Held on March 2nd, 2022, the workshop attracted a various and large number of participants and experts in the field and the workshop was streamed live on the ERF YouTube Channel.

Appointment of Dr. Adelaide Retselisitsoe Matlanyane to the AERC Board of Directors

The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) is delighted to announce the appointment of Dr. Adelaide Retselisitsoe Matlanyane as Director at Large on the AERC Board, effective 15 December 2021.

Dr. Matlanyane is the immediate former Governor and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Central Bank of Lesotho, a position she held from 2012 to 31 December 2021. She was the first female Governor in the history of the Bank. She joined the Bank in April 2006 as the Second Deputy Governor to oversee the research, financial markets, and operations departments. She was promoted to the position of First Deputy Governor in April 2007 and later as the Acting Governor, a position she held until her appointment as Governor. 

Adelaide has been associated with the AERC for more than 20 years in various capacities. She has served as a member of the AERC Programme Committee (2008-2014) and was the Chair of the Programme Committee over the period 2010–2014, having taken over the from the Late Prof. Benno Ndulu. In the capacity of the Chair of the Programme Committee, Dr. Matlanyane also served as an ex-officio member of the AERC Board. She is an AERC Alumnus of the Collaborative Training programmes.  

She is an accomplished economist and seasoned policy maker with vast experience in Finance. Prior to her illustrious career at the Central Bank of Lesotho, Dr. Matlanyane was a Lecturer at the Economics Department of the National University of Lesotho. She previously served at various Universities and regional and international institutions in different capacities, including as Board Member and Vice Chairman of the Board of the Lesotho Revenue Authority; Chairman of the African Rural and Agricultural Credit Association; Chairman of the Executive Committee of the Macroeconomic and Financial Management Institute (MEFMI) and a member of the Steering Committees of AFRITAC (Technical Assistance Centre) South of the IMF and Africa Training Institute (ATI). She has also served as an Economist in the African Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). She continues to serve various local and international professional institutions in varying capacities, including as representative of SADC Central Bank Governors in the Financial Stability Board Consultative Group for Sub-Saharan Africa; a Board Member of MEFMI.  In addition, she has, and continues to lead financial sector reforms including modernization of payment systems, legislative changes that enable development of the financial system, promotion of financial inclusion, modernization and strengthening of governance structures of financial institutions and advocacy for access to finance, especially for women.

Dr. Matlanyane holds a PhD in Economics with specialization in Macro-econometric and Economy Wide Modelling from the University of Pretoria, South Africa, a Master’s in Economics from the University of Botswana and a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics from the National University of Lesotho.  She was named among the Inaugural List of 100 Most Influential African Women in 2019 by the Avance Media.

This op-ed by Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u was published on 26th June 2021 in The East African, a leading regional newspaper

In this paper, Prof. Ndung’u provides a unique, personal perspective of the development of M-Pesa. He discusses the need as a regulator to balance innovation and systemic risk while promoting competition. Competition was of itself a difficult concept when regulating an innovation being launched by a monopoly into a market for financial services containing dominant institutions. He is frank about the pressure he faced from the banking sector and policy makers and how these challenges were address

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Growing with Debt in African Economies through Improved Governance

“Growing with Debt in African Economies through Improved Governance: Options, Challenges and Pitfalls” edited by Njuguna Ndung’u and Abebe Shimeles was published from papers that emanated from the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) Plenary Session of December 2017 and June 2019. These papers have been published in the Journal of African Economies (JAE), Volume 30 Supplement 1 of November 2021.

The range of papers included in this volume include the following: Growing with Debt in African Economies: Options, Challenges and Pitfalls by Njuguna Ndung’u, Abebe Shimeles and Damiano K. Manda; African Countries’ Debt: A Tale of Acceleration at Multiple Speeds and Shades by Vera Songwe and Christine Awiti; Africa’s Development Debts by Benno J. Ndulu and Stephen A. O’Connell; Debt, Growth and Stability in Africa: Speculative Calculations and Policy Responses by Shantayanan Devarajan, Indermit S. Gill and Kenan Karakülah; Public Debt Accumulation in SSA: A Looming Debt Crisis by Michael Atingi-Ego, Sayed Timuno and Tiviniton Makuve and Corruption Perception and Attitude Towards Taxation in Africa by Amadou Boly, Maty Konte and Abebe Shimeles.

The Journal of African Economies is published by the Centre for the Study of African Economies at the University of Oxford, United Kingdom. JAE and AERC have a standing agreement for the publication of AERC plenary papers in supplements of the journal. These plenary Papers are usually on cutting-edge economic research prepared by renowned economists and presented at the Plenary Session of the AERC biannual research workshop. Plenary Session is the opening session of a biannual research workshop that provides a forum for updating researchers on innovations in the discipline, as well as for deepening and widening thematic areas, through the presentation of papers, a keynote address and/or discussions by a policy round table.

 

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Energy efficiency in the Kenyan manufacturing sector

Energy consumption, particularly fossil fuel, has sparked a string of global resource and environmental problems, including climate change,a threat to exhaustion of energy resources, and environmental pollution. Moreover, energy consumption poses a threat to firms’ competitiveness, especially during periodsEnergy efficiency in the Kenyan manufacturing sector published paper (1) of high energy prices. Kenya’s input to CO2 emissions on a global level is small. However, the county’s fast increasing population and expanding economic activity can result in a substantial upsurge in its future emissions. This paper was published in the Energy Policy journal. It was authored by Kenneth Kigundu Macharia, John Kamau Gathiaka and AERC’s Dianah Ngui.

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AERC featured at the International Conference on Tropical Sciences

The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) recently participated in an International Conference on Tropical Sciences that focused on the contributions of Science and Technology in addressing the challenges and value of the Tropical region to achieve sustainability. The virtual conference took place on October 25-27, 2021. Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u, the AERC Executive Director made a presentation on “Financial Inclusion Supported by Digital Evolution for Inclusive and Sustainable Development in the Tropics.”

The Conference provided a platform to bring together stakeholders to position the Tropics in the context of global development and identify needed interventions by government, private sector, and academia. High level policy makers, industry captains and researchers engaged in a collaborative environment. The conference addressed Tropical Agriculture, Tropical Architecture and Engineering, Tropical Medicine and Tropical Natural Resources.

Curated discussions under these themes included Changing Landscape of Agriculture in the Tropics, Smart Cities in the Tropics, Sustainable Blue Economy in the Tropics, and the One Health Approach to Tropical Health as well as financial issues. It is important to note that the Tropics has a population of 3 billion, 55 % of whom are under 5 years old, covers 40 % of the world’s agricultural area and 80 % of the world’s biodiversity.

The Mahathir Science Award Foundation and the Academy of Sciences Malaysia convened the Conference to provide a platform to bring together these stakeholders. The Conference attracted renowned personalities including Prof. Jeffrey Sachs, American economist, academic, public policy analyst and former director of The Earth Institute at Columbia University, Prof. Muhammad Yunus, banker, economist, and civil society leader who was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for founding the Grameen Bank and pioneering the concepts of microcredit and microfinance, Prof. Dr Shenggen Fan, Dean and Policy Chair, China Agricultural University, Prof. Gbolagade Ayoola, President – Farm & Infrastructure Foundation, Prof. Jomo Kwame Sundaram, a leading scholar and expert on the political economy of development, especially in Southeast Asia and Prof. Stewart Lockie, President of the International Sociological Association’s Research Committee on Environment and Society  among others.

Prof. Ndung’u noted that developing a mobile phone-based retail electronic payments platform that was real time has pushed the digital financial ecosystem and financial inclusion. He also added that there are now over 1 billion phone-based accounts in 95 developing countries and transacting over US$2.0 billion every day.

He emphasized that beyond financial services, in Africa, citizens can reach out to government services via e-Government. E-learning platforms have been developed and have emerged as important tools for training, capacity building and e-working. Today, FinTechs have designed business models with electronic payments platforms that cut across all sectors of the economy.

“Financial inclusion has been a success, and there is evidence of financial development, inclusive finance, and poverty reduction. And in the retail electronic payments ecosystem – commercial banks are using this technological platform to manage micro depositors and savers”, said Prof. Ndung’u.

The Global COVID-19 Health Pandemic and Its Implications for the African Economies

The African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) held its twenty-third Senior Policy Seminar virtually on Tuesday, March 30, 2021. The conference was on the theme: The Global COVID-19 Health Pandemic and Its Implications for the African Economies. Honourable Mutahi Kagwe, EGH, Cabinet Secretary, Ministry of Health, Kenya was the Guest of Honour at the official opening of the Seminar. The welcoming remarks were by Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u, AERC Executive Director, and a Keynote Speech was delivered by Dr. Arqebe Oqubay, Senior Minister and Advisor to the Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Amb. Erastus J.O. Mwencha, Chairman, Equity Bank & Former Vice Chair of the African Union & Former Secretary General COMESA served as the Chair of the Special Session honoring Prof. Bennu Ndulu.

“The current Covid-19 pandemic is damaging business ecosystems, affecting livelihoods, and threatening to overturn sub-Saharan Africa’s development progress and growth projections. The pandemic has once again brought to the fore these challenges and exposed the frailty of many of the institutions across the continent.” said Professor Njuguna Ndung’u, AERC Executive Director.

Yet, as the virus was late in arriving to the continent, we saw governments across Africa taking decisive actions to keep citizens safe and implementing global best practices and policies. While there are obvious capacity and execution shortfalls, there have also been several successful areas of practice.

Special Session in Honour of Prof. Benno Ndulu

Four speakers made their contributions in the Special Session that was organized to honor Prof. Benno Ndulu one of the most celebrated academic in Africa, policy leader and founder of AERC. The speakers were Prof. Sir. Paul Collier, Oxford University, UK, Prof. Ernest Aryeetey, ISSER, Ghana, Dr. Frannie Léautier, Former Vice President, AfDB and Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u, AERC, Nairobi.

The late Prof. Benno Ndulu, passed away on the 22nd February 2021. Prof. Benno, a celebrated Economist, Mentor and Scholar, was the first Director of Research and the first African Executive Director of the AERC. Benno was also a member of the AERC Board, Chair of the AERC Programme Committee, founder member of the AERC African Central Bank Governors’ Forum, thought leader and paper presenter and discussant at AERC policy workshops. His commitment and dedication to the AERC and its mandate to build research capacity in Africa is highly commendable.

AERC Senior Policy Seminars are forums designed specifically to bring together senior policy makers from sub-Saharan African countries to exchange experiences and deliberate on topical issues pertaining to sustainable development of their economies. Participants in these seminars are drawn from the highest levels of government, including the presidency, ministers, governors of central banks, heads of civil services, permanent secretaries and heads of government agencies and parastatals.

About the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC)

Established in 1988, African Economic Research Consortium is a premier capacity building institution in the advancement of research and training to inform economic policies in sub-Saharan Africa. AERC’s mission rests on two premises: first, that development is more likely to occur where there is sustained sound management of the economy; second, that such management is more likely to happen where there is an active, well-informed cohort of locally-based professional economists to conduct policy-relevant research. AERC builds that cohort through a programme that has three primary components: research, training, and policy outreach. The organization integrates high quality economic policy research, postgraduate training, and policy outreach within a vast network of researchers, universities, and policy makers across Africa and beyond. Learn more at www.aercafrica.org, follow us for latest updates.

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